Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MATIC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-23 0.000068 0.000081 0.000094 0.000110 0.000128 0.000147 0.000170
2025-03-30 0.000051 0.000067 0.000086 0.000110 0.000137 0.000168 0.000206
2025-04-06 0.000041 0.000058 0.000080 0.000107 0.000141 0.000180 0.000229
2025-04-13 0.000035 0.000054 0.000079 0.000111 0.000152 0.000201 0.000263
2025-04-20 0.000028 0.000047 0.000073 0.000107 0.000152 0.000208 0.000280
2025-04-27 0.000024 0.000043 0.000069 0.000106 0.000156 0.000219 0.000302
2025-05-04 0.000020 0.000039 0.000066 0.000106 0.000161 0.000230 0.000324
2025-05-11 0.000019 0.000038 0.000067 0.000110 0.000170 0.000249 0.000355
2025-05-18 0.000016 0.000035 0.000065 0.000111 0.000176 0.000261 0.000378
2025-05-25 0.000013 0.000031 0.000060 0.000107 0.000174 0.000265 0.000391
2025-06-01 0.000011 0.000029 0.000058 0.000106 0.000177 0.000274 0.000410
2025-06-08 0.000010 0.000027 0.000056 0.000106 0.000181 0.000283 0.000430
2025-06-15 0.000008 0.000025 0.000055 0.000107 0.000186 0.000297 0.000457
2025-06-22 0.000007 0.000023 0.000053 0.000106 0.000189 0.000307 0.000478
2025-06-29 0.000006 0.000020 0.000050 0.000103 0.000189 0.000313 0.000494
2025-07-06 0.000005 0.000020 0.000050 0.000107 0.000199 0.000332 0.000529
2025-07-13 0.000004 0.000017 0.000047 0.000104 0.000197 0.000335 0.000541
2025-07-20 0.000003 0.000016 0.000045 0.000103 0.000200 0.000344 0.000562
2025-07-27 0.000003 0.000015 0.000044 0.000102 0.000203 0.000354 0.000584
2025-08-03 0.000003 0.000015 0.000045 0.000106 0.000213 0.000374 0.000620
2025-08-10 0.000002 0.000014 0.000044 0.000107 0.000218 0.000387 0.000646
2025-08-17 0.000002 0.000012 0.000041 0.000103 0.000215 0.000388 0.000656
2025-08-24 0.000001 0.000011 0.000039 0.000102 0.000217 0.000396 0.000676